The third one seems to be rule based but can be interpreted in two ways:

 - The square binding prevents movement from the inner four tiles.
 - The long line needs an arrow binding or it rotates.

Seeing as the first compares best to the fourth picture the most obvious choice would be the first one. Which makes me think it would be:

![possible solution][1]


  [1]: https://i.sstatic.net/GSvHL.jpg