Questions tagged [probability]

A mathematical puzzle whose essential nature involves randomness.

Filter by
Sorted by
Tagged with
5
votes
0answers
152 views

Finding the numbers [duplicate]

I found a nice problem. Here is what it says: Kevin and Peter are given a piece of paper each where they write a number. Their friend John comes up and takes the two pieces of paper and opens them up ...
5
votes
0answers
136 views

Compare two numbers by looking at one [duplicate]

Alice takes two envelopes and puts some number of dollar bills in each one. These can be any positive whole numbers (we're putting realism aside), but they cannot be the same number. Bob chooses one ...
4
votes
4answers
2k views

A Short Dice Puzzle II

A standard $6$-sided die is put inside a cup. The cup is shaken and put upside-down, hiding the die. You are going to guess what is the number on the top of the die. But, instead of given $6$ options, ...
4
votes
2answers
1k views

A coin flip's long tail

I have a (possibly-) unfair coin, which lands heads with probability $p$ and lands tails with probability $1-p$. I toss it twice; the tosses are independent and identically distributed. The ...
4
votes
3answers
618 views

Effective strategy for prisoners to see movie

100 prisoners are given an opportunity to go to a theatre and watch a movie. Each can choose either to go or not. However, if everyone chooses to go to the trip then no one is allowed to go. The ...
4
votes
3answers
683 views

What are the odds for the student to be right? [duplicate]

If a student answers this questions randomly, without thinking, what are the odds he will get the question right ? 25% chances 1 in 2 chances 75% chances 1 in 4 chances EDIT : This question is not ...
4
votes
6answers
848 views

Best strategy to get all heads/tails from three coins

Your friend has 3 fair coins: a dime, a nickel, and a quarter. She places them on a table behind you. She can arrange then in any pattern of heads and tails as long as they are not all the same. You ...
4
votes
5answers
2k views

Deserted Island [duplicate]

You are stranded on a deserted island with little to no food sources. By your guesses, you will only be able to survive another 10 days. Your only real chance of survival is getting rescued by a boat. ...
4
votes
2answers
347 views

Card Passing Game

13 friends are sitting around a table. They shuffle a half-deck of cards, consisting of only the black cards of a standard deck, and deal out two cards to each person. There are then a series of ...
4
votes
2answers
225 views

Minesweeper challenge #5

Coming back to another Minesweeper challenge... I've run into another "unsolvable corner" (corner of a puzzle where there isn't enough information to be 100% certain that any particular square that ...
4
votes
1answer
267 views

How likely is a comeback in basketball?

For this most recent NBA season, ESPN.com has had in-game win probabilities: My question: Say a team gets a big lead and has a 90% chance of winning. What is the probability that at some point ...
4
votes
3answers
556 views

Dr. G's Interesting Theorem on Playing Cards

Dr. G has spent his last weekend with analyzing $n$ number of cards which are numbered from $1$ to $n$. He has a fair shuffling machine for his cards and while playing and drawing some cards, he uses ...
4
votes
4answers
441 views

Queue in the bank

Six men are queuing in the bank when the clerk decides to take a break for 10 minutes! Before leaving, he gives to the six men a numbered ticket, in the same order of the queue (ticket #1 to the first ...
4
votes
2answers
2k views

Probability of three segments forming a triangle

Consider a line segment of length L. This segment is cut in three segments at arbitrary points. What is the probability that these three segments could be rearranged as sides of a triangle?
4
votes
3answers
1k views

In a Guess The Color game, what's the optimal strategy?

Here's a one-player card game: We begin with a shuffled card deck The player try to guess the color of the card at the top (black or red) If the player guess right, he can keep the card. Else the ...
4
votes
2answers
457 views

Gambling snap game

You have two shuffled decks of cards (52 cards each). You put them next to each other and deal two at a time, one from each deck. What is the probability that there will be at least one match? ...
4
votes
2answers
187 views

Optimal guess in a game

Suppose that A and B play a strange game. At the beginning of the game A can choose one real number - $x$ - between $0$ and $60$. Each round of the game goes like this: B names random real number $b$ ...
4
votes
3answers
628 views

Lottery in Minesweeper

The question is inspired by this scenario: In this case, we had 2 tiles remaining, and each had the equal probability of being a mine, based on the already deduced information. Thus it was necessary ...
4
votes
2answers
301 views

Ant walking on a number line 2

I'm going to raise the difficulty of the original question one dimension, so maybe a refresher will be good... Link: Ant walking on a number line I just mentioned i will raise it by one dimension... ...
4
votes
2answers
598 views

The Monty Hall Arena

Monty Hall had enough of all these pesky mathematicians winning cars. Quite demotivated, he modified his show: There is a finite number $n$ of doors There is one car behind a door, otherwise there ...
4
votes
2answers
299 views

Optimal solution to a modified poker game

Note: Knowledge of the poker game Texas Hold-em is (probably) needed in order to answer this question. You and a friend (only two people are playing) are playing a standard game of Texas Hold-em but ...
4
votes
2answers
152 views

Probability in Fighting Tournament in which Contestants consume each other

A tournament has 2 teams of 24 people each of weight 1. Each team sends one person into the pit where they fight until one consumes the other taking on all their weight. The probability that one ...
4
votes
2answers
618 views

Left coin, Right coin, Last coin- A fair version

In this game, all players start sitting at a round table, each with a coin in their hand. At every turn, all players toss their coins together and put it on the table in front of them. Then each ...
4
votes
2answers
333 views

The Ravages of Purple Spots Disease

While browsing the Internet for medical lore, you happen on a medical encyclopedia article about purple spots disease. Instances of purple spots disease have been documented in 150 countries. The ...
4
votes
2answers
2k views

A modified version of apples and oranges logic

Question: You have 3 baskets, one with apples, one with oranges and one with both apples and oranges mixed. Each basket is closed and is labeled with ‘Apples’, ‘Oranges’ and ‘Apples and Oranges’. ...
4
votes
2answers
321 views

100 prisoners' names in boxes, against smart warden

My question, which I do not know the answer to, concerns the classic 100 prisoners and 100 boxes puzzle, summarized below. The solution to this assumes the names are placed in boxes randomly, and gets ...
4
votes
2answers
282 views

Minesweeper challenge #2

Again, I seem to have run into another situation where there doesn't seem to be a definitive set of squares to tap to solve a Minesweeper puzzle. What squares should I tap to maximize my chances of ...
4
votes
0answers
241 views

Will you win the game?

You play a gambling game. On 100 folded pieces of papers are written 100 different values. You cannot see the numbers written on the folded pieces of paper, which are grouped in a pile. You pay 10 ...
4
votes
2answers
142 views

3 points on a circle [duplicate]

There is a circle where you put 3 points randomly on it as shown below: What is the chance of these randomly chosen three points passing on an half circle? Reference: Bilim Teknik Dergisi 2018-07
3
votes
15answers
12k views

Three doors, one question

A prisoner wakes up in an empty room (being seated on the floor against the wall). There are three solid doors on three of the room's walls: one to his left, one in the middle in front of him and one ...
3
votes
5answers
465 views

Why is my car always in the slowest lane?

Staying in the traffic again this morning, I decided to find a mathematical motivation behind me always being in the slowest lane. Consider the following formalization: there are 4 empty lanes and ...
3
votes
2answers
2k views

Place 10 Coins Heads Up Blindfolded [duplicate]

You are blindfolded and 10 coins are placed in front of you on table. You are allowed to touch the coins, but can’t tell which way up they are by feel. You are told that there are 5 coins head up, and ...
3
votes
2answers
184 views

A question of.. Probability! [closed]

You have six loaded dice (I mean falsified, non regular). In the first die there is always a $10\%$ of probability for $1$ to come out. In the second die there is always a $20\%$ of probability for $...
3
votes
1answer
187 views

Gambling with the gambler [closed]

You are walking on the street and notice a guy gambling with some other guys and you start to watch. The game principle is pretty easy. There is a standard 52-card deck and it is being shuffled every ...
3
votes
2answers
136 views

Broken stick riddle

There is a famous mathematical riddle called The Broken Stick Problem. Here’s the extension: If a straight stick is accidentally broken into three pieces, the probability of being able to form a ...
3
votes
2answers
390 views

The most probable key

You broke into John Doe's house and found the safe. It has a combination lock with 4 dials ranging from 0 to 9 each. ...
3
votes
2answers
150 views

Check-out counter at a supermarket [closed]

A check-out counter at a supermarket will service one customer per unit time if there is anyone in line. Customers arrive at the line: in each unit of time, the probability that a single new customer ...
3
votes
1answer
177 views

Two dice with same probability for each sum mk2

Inspired by Two dice with the same probability for each sum? To cheat in a game of sums, you get yourself a pair of magic dice. That pair behaves in a wonderful way where each individual die is fair (...
3
votes
3answers
280 views

Blood Type Puzzle 1: Am I Pure Blood?

If my parents (biological) and I all have blood type B, how likely am I a pure blood? (expressed as a percentage) Follow up question: If my dad is blood type AB instead of blood type B, and ...
3
votes
2answers
343 views

Return to the Minotaur's Labyrinth

This is an extension of the puzzle The Minotaur's Labyrinth which is inspired by the comments from histocrat. You are trapped (again) in a chamber at the center of the minotaur's labyrinth. There are ...
3
votes
1answer
184 views

A Chuck-a-luck variant

You're thinking of trying a variant of Chuck-a-luck. In this variant, you choose one number in the range $1$ to $6$ and five dice are rolled. These are the payouts: ...
3
votes
1answer
91 views

Does it exist a quick way to find the numbers unseen of two tokens after then have been tossed? [closed]

I'm confused about this riddle. I've tried to guess which numbers could be on bottom, but in the end I couldn't got an answer. Can someone help me please? The riddle is as follows: Over a table ...
3
votes
2answers
262 views

Is there a definite answer to this Minesweeper puzzle? If not, which square has the best chance of being safe?

I was working on solving an Expert puzzle in Minesweeper, but came across a hurdle in this corner (the top left). Is there a definitive solution to the problem? If so, what is it? If not, which ...
3
votes
0answers
110 views

Variation of Boy/Girl Birth Problem [closed]

Parents keep having children until they have one girl, at which point they stop; and babies are girls with probability 0.49. If we select a child uniformly at random (from the entire population of ...
3
votes
0answers
49 views

Knight's Tour Question [duplicate]

A chessboard is an 8 × 8 grid. A knight can move up two squares plus one square to the left or right, or up one plus two squares to the left or right. For a knight in the position shown, determine the ...
2
votes
3answers
2k views

Should I take the antidote? [closed]

A new disease has been discovered in the world, it is called Blue. Statistically 1:1000 people in the world has it and it makes your whole skin blue in a few weeks after getting the disease but not ...
2
votes
5answers
1k views

Another look at the two children riddle

Inspired by this question about the Monty Hall problem, here's a deeper look at another well-known counter-intuitive probability problem which is often stated in a way that leaves subtle ambiguities: ...
2
votes
3answers
406 views

A game with numbers [closed]

Two people randomly select two different 1-digit numbers (including 0 of course) and calculate their absolute difference. Then They share what they get, What is the probability of having the same ...
2
votes
2answers
364 views

How to beat Count Dracula, part 2

This is a follow-up to "How to beat Count Dracula". Abraham Van Helsing and Jonathan Harker play a game against Count Dracula. The three players agree on the following rules: Count Dracula and ...
2
votes
4answers
1k views

4 player card game, who has advantage? [closed]

Edit for "off topic" "correction". I don't know why this question was considered "off topic". It seemed to draw a lot of attention. The "puzzle" was to figure out which person has the advantage ...

1
3 4
5
6 7