I have 22 underpants in the drawer and it is dark and I cannot identify the colors. 3 pairs are red.
What is the probability of my putting on a red pair of underpants from the drawer?
3/22 is the wrong answer.
Puzzling Stack Exchange is a question and answer site for those who create, solve, and study puzzles. It only takes a minute to sign up.
Sign up to join this communityI have 22 underpants in the drawer and it is dark and I cannot identify the colors. 3 pairs are red.
What is the probability of my putting on a red pair of underpants from the drawer?
3/22 is the wrong answer.
The answer is:
100%. You put on 20 pairs of underpants. With only two left you must be wearing a pair of red underpants.
X*Y/Z, where X is the probability that you put on a pair of underpants from the drawer in the first place, Y is the total number of red underpants, which is at least 3, and Z is the total number of underpants of any color, which is at least 22.
3/11, because you have "22 underpants", meaning "11 pairs of underpants".
Zero percent probability
because
in the dark (with no light), all of them are black.
Here is another try.
We have 22 underpants of which 3 are red - but maybe more. If there could be any number of red underpants, we would have 20 scenarios:
Total number of possibilities in all scenarios: 250 red /190 non-red
As far as we know, we could be in any of the 20 scenarios picking any of the 22 underpants, so we have 20 * 22 = 440 different possibilities. Since 250 of the possibilities gives us a red pair of underpants, we get the answer:
250/440 = 25/44 = 57%