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I found this puzzle on TONI test and it was hard for me. It is the last item on the test. Can someone help me to solve and explain the solution?

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My hunch is that the next item is...

shape #3

...because...

The number of subdivisions within each shape increases by one each time: a circle has one, a square split in half has two, etc. Shape #3, which would be the fifth shape in the sequence, is the only option with five subdivisions.

I'm unsure if this is the correct solution, since...

it doesn't account for the smaller shapes within the larger shape. Perhaps these are just red herrings, which is why there are none in shape #3?

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